Friday, October 30, 2009

Impact of Inflation

Looking at the figures released yesterday the inflation has maintained an upward tick. While the upward move was statistically expected the worrying part is the build of inflation this fiscal that is around 6% and which is higher than last year. If we look at the components, the numbers worry me more because the inflation has been higher because of basic items like tea, pulses, spices etc. If we exclude the drop in prices of items like aviation turbine fuel and light diesel oil the inflation figures would become more worrisome. If the current trend continues we would land up at an annual figure of between 8-10% that would translate into 20% inflation at the consumer level. Looking at the trend I think the government has to become more proactive to control inflation than RBI.

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